jian chen,fuwei jiang,童国士——ACCOUNTING AND FINANCE:Economic policy uncertainty in China and stock market expected returns
时间:2018-03-25
We investigate the impact of China's economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the time series variation of Chinese stock market expected returns. Using the news-based measure of EPU, we find that EPU predicts negatively future stock market return at various horizons. This negative relation between economic policy uncertainty and expected future return remains significant as we control for a number of economic and market uncertainty variables or conduct out-of-sample tests. Our findings are consisten